Can Red Bull beat Ferrari at Spa?

If I’m honest, I didn’t have Red Bull leading the Belgian Grand Prix or finishing ahead of Ferrari in my weekend picks. For reasons that may still reveal themselves, I felt the Re-badged Renault engine and chassis combination has been a bit of a revelation this year but perhaps not the strongest combination on a circuit like Spa Francorchamps.

Friday may be making a liar out of me if you read the time sheets as the Red Bulls set the pace and led the FP2 session. Ok, perhaps it’s a bit of sandbagging or running different programs but Max Verstappen says it may not be:

“Compared to other competitors, we showed great pace today, I think better than expected,” he said.

“This track is very difficult for setting up the car balance. I had some struggles but at the end it also paid off with the last set-up change we did.

“We can definitely improve even more and we have to wait and see what [Mercedes] does.

“We have had a very good Friday and a very good start from the weekend.”

How do you see this playing out? I’m under no illusions that they can beat Mercedes, a team that has won 43 out of the last 50 races, but can they beat Ferrari at Spa? A circuit requiring less chassis downforce and more shove?